
Increasing community college completion rates among low-income students: Evidence from a randomized controlled trial evaluation of a case management intervention.
Evans, W.M., Kearney, M.S., Perry, B.C., & Sullivan, J.X. (2017). NBER Working Paper 24150. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research.
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examining1,168Students, gradePS
Single Study Review
Review Details
Reviewed: October 2019
- Single Study Review (findings for Stay the Course )
- Randomized Controlled Trial
- Meets WWC standards without reservations because it is a randomized controlled trial with low attrition.
This review may not reflect the full body of research evidence for this intervention.
Evidence Tier rating based solely on this study. This intervention may achieve a higher tier when combined with the full body of evidence.
Findings
Outcome measure |
Comparison | Period | Sample |
Intervention mean |
Comparison mean |
Significant? |
Improvement index |
Evidence tier |
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
College GPA |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
Stay the Course versus Control;
|
2.52 |
2.50 |
No |
-- | ||
Show Supplemental Findings | |||||||||
College GPA |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
2 Semesters |
Stay the Course versus Control;
|
2.52 |
2.47 |
No |
-- | ||
College GPA |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
Female; Stay the Course versus Control;
|
2.54 |
2.49 |
No |
-- | ||
College GPA |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
Stay the Course versus Control; "Non-White";
|
2.44 |
2.39 |
No |
-- | ||
College GPA |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
4 Semesters |
Stay the Course versus Control;
|
2.50 |
2.48 |
No |
-- | ||
College GPA |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
Male; Stay the Course versus Control;
|
2.50 |
2.50 |
No |
-- | ||
College GPA |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
White; Stay the Course versus Control;
|
2.76 |
2.80 |
No |
-- | ||
College GPA |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
Emergency Financial Assistance-Only versus Control;
|
2.39 |
2.50 |
No |
-- |
Outcome measure |
Comparison | Period | Sample |
Intervention mean |
Comparison mean |
Significant? |
Improvement index |
Evidence tier |
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% Enrolled at any college |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
Stay the Course versus Control;
|
49.60 |
44.00 |
No |
-- | ||
Show Supplemental Findings | |||||||||
% Enrolled at any college |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
Female; Stay the Course versus Control;
|
50.90 |
42.50 |
Yes |
|
||
% Enrolled at any college |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
Stay the Course versus Control; "Non-White";
|
52.40 |
45.50 |
No |
-- | ||
% Enrolled at any college |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
2 Semesters |
Stay the Course versus Control;
|
81.30 |
79.70 |
No |
-- | ||
% Enrolled at any college |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
Emergency Financial Assistance-Only versus Control;
|
45.50 |
44.00 |
No |
-- | ||
% Enrolled at any college |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
Female; Stay the Course versus Control;
|
46.80 |
47.10 |
No |
-- | ||
% Enrolled at any college |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
White; Stay the Course versus Control;
|
42.90 |
42.40 |
No |
-- | ||
% Enrolled at any college |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
4 Semesters |
Stay the Course versus Control;
|
58.70 |
60.40 |
No |
-- |
Outcome measure |
Comparison | Period | Sample |
Intervention mean |
Comparison mean |
Significant? |
Improvement index |
Evidence tier |
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% Earned a degree from any college |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
Stay the Course versus Control;
|
21.90 |
18.20 |
No |
-- | ||
Associates degree attainment |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
Stay the Course versus Control;
|
19.50 |
15.90 |
No |
-- | ||
Show Supplemental Findings | |||||||||
Associates degree attainment |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
Female; Stay the Course versus Control;
|
23.10 |
15.70 |
Yes |
|
||
Associates degree attainment |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
White; Stay the Course versus Control;
|
21.80 |
15.30 |
No |
-- | ||
% Earned a degree from any college |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
Female; Stay the Course versus Control;
|
25.20 |
18.70 |
No |
-- | ||
% Earned a degree from any college |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
Stay the Course versus Control; "Non-White";
|
21.70 |
17.60 |
No |
-- | ||
% Earned a degree from any college |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
White; Stay the Course versus Control;
|
23.80 |
20.30 |
No |
-- | ||
Associates degree attainment |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
Stay the Course versus Control; "Non-White";
|
18.50 |
15.70 |
No |
-- | ||
Associates degree attainment |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
4 Semesters |
Stay the Course versus Control;
|
8.30 |
8.70 |
No |
-- | ||
% Earned a degree from any college |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
Male; Stay the Course versus Control;
|
16.20 |
17.10 |
No |
-- | ||
% Earned a degree from any college |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
Emergency Financial Assistance-Only versus Control;
|
16.80 |
18.20 |
No |
-- | ||
Associates degree attainment |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
Emergency Financial Assistance-Only versus Control;
|
14.70 |
15.90 |
No |
-- | ||
% Earned a degree from any college |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
4 Semesters |
Stay the Course versus Control;
|
8.70 |
10.00 |
No |
-- | ||
Associates degree attainment |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
Male; Stay the Course versus Control;
|
13.90 |
16.40 |
No |
-- | ||
% Earned a degree from any college |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
2 Semesters |
Stay the Course versus Control;
|
1.90 |
0.70 |
No |
-- | ||
Associates degree attainment |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
2 Semesters |
Stay the Course versus Control;
|
1.30 |
0.50 |
No |
-- |
Outcome measure |
Comparison | Period | Sample |
Intervention mean |
Comparison mean |
Significant? |
Improvement index |
Evidence tier |
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
College-level credits earned |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
Stay the Course versus Control;
|
28.59 |
26.83 |
No |
-- | ||
Show Supplemental Findings | |||||||||
College-level credits earned |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
Female; Stay the Course versus Control;
|
29.26 |
26.41 |
No |
-- | ||
College-level credits earned |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
2 Semesters |
Stay the Course versus Control;
|
14.96 |
13.90 |
No |
-- | ||
College-level credits earned |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
White; Stay the Course versus Control;
|
30.74 |
28.34 |
No |
-- | ||
College-level credits earned |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
4 Semesters |
Stay the Course versus Control;
|
24.24 |
23.14 |
No |
-- | ||
College-level credits earned |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
Stay the Course versus Control; "Non-White";
|
27.89 |
26.27 |
No |
-- | ||
College-level credits earned |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
Male; Stay the Course versus Control;
|
27.42 |
27.73 |
No |
-- | ||
College-level credits earned |
Stay the Course vs. Business as usual |
6 Semesters |
Emergency Financial Assistance-Only versus Control;
|
26.39 |
26.83 |
No |
-- |
Evidence Tier rating based solely on this study. This intervention may achieve a higher tier when combined with the full body of evidence.
Sample Characteristics
Characteristics of study sample as reported by study author.
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Female: 65%
Male: 35% -
Urban
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Texas
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Race Asian 3% Black 20% Other or unknown 35% White 41% -
Ethnicity Hispanic 46% Not Hispanic or Latino 54%
Study Details
Setting
This randomized controlled trial was conducted within the Trinity River Campus of Tarrant County College (TCC), which is a large community college in Fort Worth, TX. The study was conducted between 2013 and 2016.
Study sample
To be considered eligible to be in the study, students needed to be: "(1) enrolled in at least 9 credit hours at TCC; (2) degree seeking; (3) age 18 years or older; (4) satisfied at least one Texas Success Initiative (TSI) standard; (5) newly enrolled or have earned a Cumulative GPA of at least 2.0 at TCC to date; (6) accumulated less than 30 credit hours at TCC to date; and (7) Pell eligible or fall below 200% of the poverty line (based on reported income on the FASFA)" (p.13). Among the students randomly assigned to the Stay the Course condition, 62.8% were female, 18.4% were Black, 40.5% were White, 2.7% were Asian, 37.7% were another race, and 47.7% were Hispanic. These students had an average family income of $22,576 and an expected family contribution of $768. Among the students randomly assigned to the Emergency Financial Aid (EFA-only) group, 64.2% were female, 24.1% were Black, 41.8% were White, 3.7% were Asian, 30.4% were another race, and 43.8% were Hispanic. These students had an average family income of $22,906 and an expected family contribution of $761. Among the students randomly assigned to Comparison group, 68.1% were female, 21.6% were Black, 40.8% were White, 3.5% were Asian, 34.9% were another race, and 46.0% were Hispanic. These students had an average family income of $20,756 and an expected family contribution of $650.
Intervention Group
The primary intervention of interest, Stay the Course, entails comprehensive case management meant to help low-income community college students persist in school and complete an Associate's Degree. Stay the Course was designed by Catholic Charities Fort Worth and is meant to help students address personal obstacles that undermine degree attainment. Stay the Course requires that each student be paired with a trained social worker, called a navigator. Navigators help students via coaching, mentoring, and referral services. It is recommended that students and navigators meet in person once a month. Students who receive Stay the Course also have access to limited EFA that can be used for non-academic expenses to improve their persistence in college. The second intervention that was studied was provision of EFA access only. EFA receipt required that students demonstrate an immediate financial need, and that an unmet need would undermine their academic progress. Needs that generally qualified for assistance were ones that were "foreseeable, controllable, and temporary" (e.g., car repair, rent, utilities). EFA eligibility was restricted to students with a cumulative GPA of a 2.0 (this was waived for first semester students) and being enrolled in at least 9 credits at the time of EFA application. EFA could reach up to $500 per semester and was capped at $1,500 total over a three-year period.
Comparison Group
The control group received standard community college services.
Support for implementation
At the start of the study in 2013, program guidelines indicated that student-navigator meetings should occur at least once per month, but the actual frequency of meetings occurred at navigator discretion. This changed in 2015; the program supervisor set specific benchmarks for navigator-student interactions so as to promote fidelity of program implementation. These benchmarks required reciprocal contact (email, text, phone) to occur at least once per week, in-person meetings every two weeks, and completion of a service planning goal once every three weeks.
An indicator of the effect of the intervention, the improvement index can be interpreted as the expected change in percentile rank for an average comparison group student if that student had received the intervention.
For more, please see the WWC Glossary entry for improvement index.
An outcome is the knowledge, skills, and attitudes that are attained as a result of an activity. An outcome measures is an instrument, device, or method that provides data on the outcome.
A finding that is included in the effectiveness rating. Excluded findings may include subgroups and subscales.
The sample on which the analysis was conducted.
The group to which the intervention group is compared, which may include a different intervention, business as usual, or no services.
The timing of the post-intervention outcome measure.
The number of students included in the analysis.
The mean score of students in the intervention group.
The mean score of students in the comparison group.
The WWC considers a finding to be statistically significant if the likelihood that the finding is due to chance alone, rather than a real difference, is less than five percent.
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The name and version of the document used to guide the review of the study.
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A related publication that was reviewed alongside the main study of interest.
Study findings for this report.
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Tier 3 Promising indicates promising evidence of effectiveness,
as defined in the
non-regulatory guidance for ESSA
and the regulations for ED discretionary grants (EDGAR Part 77).