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What Are the College Outcomes after Six Years for Tennessee's High School Class of 2007

by Eric Rolfhus, Emily House, Brian Douglas and Daniel Leeds
What Are the College Outcomes after Six Years for Tennessee's High School Class of 2007

Many studies show a strong link between earning a college degree and receiving higher wages (for example, Carnevale, Jayasundera, & Gulish, 2015). Consequently, a large body of research is published each year analyzing indicators of progress toward increased college enrollment and completion (for example, National Student Clearinghouse Research Center, 2012, 2013a, 2013b, 2014). Such studies typically follow first-time, full-time college freshmen for three years to measure progress toward a two-year degree and for six years to measure progress toward a four-year degree. However, information is needed on college enrollment and completion among all high school graduates, including those who delay enrollment, to provide a more complete picture of this issue and to illuminate challenges that college enrollees face in earning degrees. This study used data from the Tennessee Department of Education, the Tennessee Higher Education Commission, and the National Student Clearinghouse to explore Tennessee students' college histories. It measured, by semester from fall 2007 through spring 2013, the public college enrollment rate of the cohort of students who graduated from a Tennessee public high school in 2007; the cohort's two-, four-, and six-year public college persistence and completion rates; and the number of credits and the grade point averages that fulltime enrollees in Tennessee public colleges accumulated in their first year and their grade point average during that time. Some results are broken down by race/ethnicity, and others are broken down by gender and high school urbanicity. This study, a collaborative effort between Regional Educational Laboratory Appalachia and the Tennessee Higher Education Commission, responds to Tennessee stakeholders' need to better understand college outcomes of the state's high school graduates. The findings provide context for Tennessee's efforts to promote the college readiness of its high school graduates, including programs such as the Tennessee Promise scholarship, which makes two years of community or technical college free for eligible students. A companion study explores outcomes for Metropolitan Nashville Public Schools (Rolfhus, House, Douglas, & Leeds, 2017).

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