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Technical Methods Report: What to Do When Data Are Missing in Group Randomized Controlled Trials

NCEE 2009-0049
October 2009

Exhibit I.b.2.  Scenario I, Missing Data Not Dependent on Pretest or Post-test: Data Missing for 40% of Students


    Imact Estimate   Standard Error of Imact Est.   90% Cl
Data Pre-test Data Available? Estimate True Imact Bias Bias Level Standard Estimate Unbiased Estimate Bias Bias Level % of Samples in
which 90% Cl
Contains .20
No Missing Data No 0.203 0.200 0.003 Low Bias 0.085 0.088 -0.002 Low Bias 0.892
  Yes 0.203 0.200 0.003 Low Bias 0.062 0.062 0.000 Low Bias 0.886
A. Pre-Test (X) Data Missing                    
Case Deletion No 0.202 0.200 0.002 Low Bias 0.081 0.080 0.001 Low Bias 0.901
  Yes                  
Dummy Variable Method No 0.203 0.200 0.003 Low Bias 0.073 0.075 -0.001 Low Bias 0.893
  Yes                  
Mean Value Imputation No 0.203 0.200 0.003 Low Bias 0.073 0.079 -0.006 Low Bias 0.859
  Yes                  
Single, Non-stochastic No 0.201 0.200 0.001 Low Bias 0.055 0.081 -0.026 Low Bias 0.736
Regression Imputation Yes                  
Single, Stochastic No 0.201 0.200 0.001 Low Bias 0.062 0.079 -0.017 Low Bias 0.780
Regression Imputation Yes                  
Multiple Stochastic No 0.205 0.200 0.005 Low Bias 0.069 0.074 -0.005 Low Bias 0.871
Regrssion Imputation (n=5) Yes                  
EM Algorithm with Multiple Imputation (n=5) No 0.200 0.200 0.000 Low Bias 0.072 0.076 -0.004 Low Bias 0.875
  Yes                  
B. Post-Test (Y) Data Missing                    
Case Deletion No 0.202 0.200 0.002 Low Bias 0.112 0.112 0.000 Low Bias 0.886
  Yes 0.202 0.200 0.002 Low Bias 0.081 0.080 0.001 Low Bias 0.901
Mean Value Imputation No 0.202 0.200 0.002 Low Bias 0.065 0.112 -0.047 Low Bias 0.679
  Yes 0.202 0.200 0.002 Low Bias 0.055 0.097 -0.042 Low Bias 0.677
Single, Non-stocastic No 0.202 0.200 0.002 Low Bias 0.065 0.112 -0.047 Low Bias 0.679
Regression Imputation Yes 0.201 0.200 0.001 Low Bias 0.048 0.082 -0.034 Low Bias 0.674
Single, Stochastic No 0.205 0.200 0.005 Low Bias 0.083 0.129 -0.046 Low Bias 0.694
Regression Imputation Yes 0.203 0.200 0.003 Low Bias 0.060 0.095 -0.034 Low Bias 0.702
Multiple, Stochastic No 0.195 0.200 -0.005 Low Bias 0.107 0.114 -0.007 Low Bias 0.863
Regression Imputation (n=5) Yes 0.196 0.200 -0.004 Low Bias 0.077 0.084 -0.007 Low Bias 0.853
EM Algorithm with Multiple Imputation (n=5) No 0.204 0.200 0.004 Low Bias 0.085 0.083 0.002 Low Bias 0.878
  Yes                
Weighting - Simple No                
  Yes                  
Weighting - Sophisticated No                  
  Yes 0.202 0.200 0.002 Low Bias 0.081 0.080 0.001 Low Bias 0.899
Fully Specified Regression Models No 0.202 0.200 0.002 Low Bias 0.081 0.080 0.001 Low Bias 0.900
w/ Treatment-Covariate Interactions Yes                  
Note: When pre-test scores are available, they are used as a covariate in the analysis model. In addition, we used pre-test scores to impute values and create weights. Bias estimates were computed as described in Chapter 4 and repeated at the beginning of this appendix. The level of the bias is characterized as "High Bias" or "Low Bias" based on the criteria established in Chapter 4. 90% CI refers to the 90-percent confidence interval around the impact estimate. For more details on the simulations, see Chapter 4 and Appendix C.